A net 34 percent of people surveyed expected prices to rise from levels seen in the quarter, compared to the start of the year. (file image) Photo: RNZ / Marika Khabazi
与年初相比，34%的受访者预计价格将在本季度的水平上涨。（资料图片）照片：RNZ / Marika Khabazi
Households believe the market has reached a turning point, with more people expecting prices to increase, according to ASB’s latest housing confidence survey.
根据ASB最新的住房信心调查，家庭认为市场已经达到了一个转折点，更多的人预计房价会上涨。
[xyz-ihs snippet=”In-article-ads”]
For the first time in 18 months, more New Zealanders expected prices to increase than decrease, the survey for the three months to October showed.
截至10月的三个月调查显示，18个月来首次有更多的新西兰人预计价格上涨而不是下跌。
A net 34 percent expected prices to rise from levels seen in the quarter, compared to the start of the year, where 43 percent expected prices to fall.
净34%的人预计价格将从本季度的水平上涨，而今年年初有43%的人预计价格将下降。
“Aucklanders continue to be the most bullish in their house price expectations, in a continuation of the theme we saw last quarter,” ASB said.
“奥克兰人继续最看好他们的房价预期，延续了我们上个季度看到的主题，”ASB表示。
However, households were split on whether it was a good time to buy, with a net 6 percent agreeing that it was a good time to buy.
然而，对于现在是否是购买的好时机，家庭存在分歧，净6%的人同意现在是购买的好时机。
ASB said the survey took place during the election campaign, which was a time of “heightened uncertainty”.
ASB表示，这项调查是在竞选期间进行的，这是一个“不确定性加剧”的时期。
[xyz-ihs snippet=”GoogleADresponsive”]
“New Zealand housing affordability remains woeful by any historical standard, but some hopeful Kiwis might be figuring that after a 16 percent peak-to-trough fall in prices and some decent wage growth, there won’t be a better time to try and cobble together the cash for a deposit,” it said.
“从任何历史标准来看，新西兰的住房负担能力仍然很糟糕，但一些有希望的新西兰人可能会发现，在价格从高峰到低谷下跌16%和一些体面的工资增长之后，没有比这更好的时机来尝试拼凑现金存款，”它说。
A net 28 percent expected a further increase in interest rates, but only 15 percent believed rates would fall.
净28%的人预计利率会进一步上升，但只有15%的人认为利率会下降。
“The biggest shift continues to be the number who expect rates to move sideways, up four-fold over the year-to-date,” ASB said.
ASB表示：“最大的变化仍然是预计利率将横盘整理的人数，比今年迄今上涨了四倍。
“That tends to be the camp we’re in too – while we don’t anticipate any further OCR [official cash rate] hikes at this stage, we think it’ll be at least another nine months before the RBNZ [Reserve Bank] is comfortable loosening policy up.”
“这往往也是我们所处的阵营——虽然我们预计现阶段不会进一步加息，但我们认为至少还需要九个月的时间，新西兰联储才会放松政策。”
来源：RNZ
[xyz-ihs snippet=”moreNZnews”]
[xyz-ihs snippet=”multiple-ads”]
947 views
