Tumbling fresh food prices are helping to keep the brakes on consumer inflation. Photo: Nadine Primeau / Unsplash
题图：新鲜食品价格暴跌有助于抑制消费者通胀。照片：Nadine Primeau / Unsplash
Tumbling fresh food prices are helping to keep the brakes on consumer inflation.
新鲜食品价格暴跌有助于抑制消费者通胀。
Stats NZ said food prices rose 0.7 percent for the year ended March, the lowest since May 2021, as fresh produce – notably salad items – dipped more than 13 percent.
新西兰统计局表示，截至3月的一年中，食品价格上涨了0.7%，为2021年5月以来的最低水平，因为新鲜农产品（尤其是沙拉食品）下跌了13%以上。
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The annual decrease in fruit and vegetables was the largest in the 25-year history of the data, but was being countered by rises in groceries, takeaway meals and soft drinks.
水果和蔬菜的年度降幅是该数据25年历史上最大的，但被杂货、外卖和软饮料的上涨所抵消。
“Visiting a café or restaurant, or getting takeaways was more expensive in March 2024,” Stats NZ consumer prices manager James Mitchell said.
“2024 年 3 月，去咖啡馆或餐馆，或吃外卖更贵，”新西兰统计局消费者价格经理 James Mitchell 说。
Eating out cost 6.4 percent more than a year ago, and alcohol and tobacco were up 7.5 percent.
外出就餐的成本比一年前增加了6.4%，酒精和烟草价格上涨了7.5%。
“The cost of buying a box of beer bought off-licence was 10 percent more expensive than a year ago, while a pint of beer at a bar or restaurant was 6 percent more expensive,” Mitchell said.
米切尔说：“购买一盒无牌啤酒的成本比一年前高出10%，而在酒吧或餐馆购买一品脱啤酒的成本高出6%。
And a raft of other items in the consumer price index (CPI) also showed solid increases, with rents up 4.6 percent, a 14.6 percent rise in petrol prices, and 4 percent rise in hotel and motel accommodation.
消费者价格指数（CPI）中的大量其他项目也显示出稳步增长，租金上涨4.6%，汽油价格上涨14.6%，酒店和汽车旅馆住宿上涨4%。
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ASB senior economist Mark Smith said the partial price measures suggested inflation might have been a touch stronger at the start of the year, although the annual number should slow from 4.7 percent at the end of last year to just above 4 percent for the year ended March.
ASB高级经济学家马克·史密斯（Mark Smith）表示，部分价格指标表明，今年年初的通胀率可能略有上升，尽管年度数字应该会从去年年底的4.7%放缓到截至3月的4%以上。
“At this stage, we continue to expect CPI inflation to fall below 3 percent by year-end, but only just. Of more market relevance will be developments in core inflation.”
“在现阶段，我们继续预计CPI通胀率将在年底前降至3%以下，但只是刚刚。与市场更相关的将是核心通胀的发展。
“Our expectation is that core inflation will continue to cool and that the RBNZ will be sufficiently confident to cut the OCR when the core inflation trajectory points to generalised inflation settling below 3 percent.”
“我们的预期是，核心通胀将继续降温，当核心通胀轨迹指向普遍通胀稳定在3%以下时，新西兰联储将有足够的信心下调OCR。”
来源：RNZ
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